Linewire Markets

Crowd-implied probabilities for 22 long-running prediction markets, refreshed daily from public prediction-market data (Polymarket). Last update 2026-10-16 23:27 UTC. Free tools: odds & probability converter · payout calculator.

Sports

Market	Leader	7d	Source
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026	Harry Kane 65%	+10 pts	Polymarket
EPL: 2027 Champion	Arsenal 64%	+2 pts	Polymarket
F1 Constructors' Champion	Mercedes 99%	0 pts	Polymarket
F1 Drivers' Champion	Kimi Antonelli 98%	+1 pts	Polymarket
LALIGA: 2027 Champion	Barcelona 80%	0 pts	Polymarket
MLS Cup Winner 2026	Nashville SC 20%	+2 pts	Polymarket
NBA: 2026-27 Rookie of the Year	Cameron Boozer 22%	0 pts	Polymarket
NBA: 2027 Champion	San Antonio Spurs 22%	-1 pts	Polymarket
Pro Football: 2027 Champion	San Francisco 49ers 13%	+3 pts	Polymarket
UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion	Barcelona 24%	+1 pts	Polymarket

Economy

Market	Leader	7d	Source
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?	0 (0 bps) 97%	+1 pts	Polymarket
Largest Company end of December 2026?	NVIDIA 69%	-19 pts	Polymarket

Elections

Market	Leader	7d	Source
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms	Democrats Sweep 62%	0 pts	Polymarket
California Governor Election Winner	Xavier Becerra 96%	0 pts	Polymarket
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028	Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17%	-1 pts	Polymarket
Next French Presidential Election	Marine Le Pen 46%	+5 pts	Polymarket
Presidential Election Winner 2028	JD Vance 21%	+1 pts	Polymarket
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028	J.D. Vance 47%	-2 pts	Polymarket
Which party will win the House in 2026?	Democratic Party 90%	0 pts	Polymarket
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?	Democratic Party 64%	+2 pts	Polymarket

Crypto

Market	Leader	7d	Source
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?	↑ 90,000 55%	-8 pts	Polymarket

Culture

Market	Leader	7d	Source
Highest grossing movie in 2026?	Spider-Man: Brand New Day 96%	0 pts	Polymarket