← All markets · Sports

MLS Cup Winner 2026

Market favorite · Polymarket
Nashville SC: 20%
≈ +398 in American odds (no vig) · 7-day change: +2 pts · Closes Jan 1, 2027 · Data as of 2026-10-16 23:27 UTC

What’s moving

Nashville SC is the market favorite at 20% (+2 pts over 7 days). Biggest 7-day move among tracked outcomes: Vancouver Whitecaps FC, -7 pts. Prices are crowd-implied probabilities, not predictions from Linewire.

Current probabilities

OutcomeProbability≈ American odds
Nashville SC20%+398
Vancouver Whitecaps FC16%+537
Inter Miami CF14%+590
Philadelphia Union8%+1216
St. Louis City SC7%+1251
Los Angeles FC6%+1718
Chicago Fire FC5%+1787
FC Dallas5%+1823
Houston Dynamo FC4%+2253
New England Revolution3%+3409
San Jose Earthquakes3%+3746
Charlotte FC3%+3822

Probability = last traded price of the “Yes” contract. Convert any price with the odds converter or size a payout with the payout calculator.

Odds history

Nashville SC: last 30 days

22%16%
Date (UTC)Probability
Sep 1817%
Sep 2516%
Oct 219%
Oct 918%
Oct 1620%

Vancouver Whitecaps FC: last 30 days

23%14%
Date (UTC)Probability
Sep 1819%
Sep 2520%
Oct 223%
Oct 923%
Oct 1616%

Inter Miami CF: last 30 days

18%14%
Date (UTC)Probability
Sep 1716%
Sep 2417%
Oct 116%
Oct 816%
Oct 1614%

Source

Data: Polymarket public API, Polymarket market page. Linewire is not affiliated with Polymarket. Availability of prediction markets varies by jurisdiction.

Get “Markets moving” in the free Sunday email

Top line moves, DFS notes, and the week’s biggest prediction-market swings. Free, weekly, unsubscribe anytime.

Or see the newsletter page.