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MLS Cup Winner 2026
Market favorite · Polymarket
Nashville SC: 20%
≈ +398 in American odds (no vig) · 7-day change: +2 pts · Closes Jan 1, 2027 · Data as of 2026-10-16 23:27 UTC
What’s moving
Nashville SC is the market favorite at 20% (+2 pts over 7 days). Biggest 7-day move among tracked outcomes: Vancouver Whitecaps FC, -7 pts. Prices are crowd-implied probabilities, not predictions from Linewire.
Current probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | ≈ American odds |
|---|---|---|
| Nashville SC | 20% | +398 |
| Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 16% | +537 |
| Inter Miami CF | 14% | +590 |
| Philadelphia Union | 8% | +1216 |
| St. Louis City SC | 7% | +1251 |
| Los Angeles FC | 6% | +1718 |
| Chicago Fire FC | 5% | +1787 |
| FC Dallas | 5% | +1823 |
| Houston Dynamo FC | 4% | +2253 |
| New England Revolution | 3% | +3409 |
| San Jose Earthquakes | 3% | +3746 |
| Charlotte FC | 3% | +3822 |
Probability = last traded price of the “Yes” contract. Convert any price with the odds converter or size a payout with the payout calculator.
Odds history
Nashville SC: last 30 days
| Date (UTC) | Probability |
|---|---|
| Sep 18 | 17% |
| Sep 25 | 16% |
| Oct 2 | 19% |
| Oct 9 | 18% |
| Oct 16 | 20% |
Vancouver Whitecaps FC: last 30 days
| Date (UTC) | Probability |
|---|---|
| Sep 18 | 19% |
| Sep 25 | 20% |
| Oct 2 | 23% |
| Oct 9 | 23% |
| Oct 16 | 16% |
Inter Miami CF: last 30 days
| Date (UTC) | Probability |
|---|---|
| Sep 17 | 16% |
| Sep 24 | 17% |
| Oct 1 | 16% |
| Oct 8 | 16% |
| Oct 16 | 14% |
Source
Data: Polymarket public API, Polymarket market page. Linewire is not affiliated with Polymarket. Availability of prediction markets varies by jurisdiction.
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