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UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
Market favorite · Polymarket
Barcelona: 24%
≈ +326 in American odds (no vig) · 7-day change: +1 pts · Closes Jun 20, 2027 · Data as of 2026-10-16 23:27 UTC
What’s moving
Barcelona is the market favorite at 24% (+1 pts over 7 days). Biggest 7-day move among tracked outcomes: Paris Saint-Germain, +3 pts. Prices are crowd-implied probabilities, not predictions from Linewire.
Current probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | ≈ American odds |
|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | 24% | +326 |
| Paris Saint-Germain | 16% | +545 |
| Arsenal | 14% | +641 |
| Bayern Munich | 14% | +641 |
| Real Madrid | 10% | +852 |
| Manchester City | 6% | +1438 |
| Liverpool | 4% | +2122 |
| Atlético Madrid | 2% | +4778 |
| Inter Milan | 2% | +5614 |
| Manchester United | 1% | +7307 |
| Aston Villa | 1% | +7900 |
| Borussia Dortmund | 1% | +8596 |
Probability = last traded price of the “Yes” contract. Convert any price with the odds converter or size a payout with the payout calculator.
Odds history
Barcelona: last 30 days
| Date (UTC) | Probability |
|---|---|
| Sep 18 | 20% |
| Sep 25 | 22% |
| Oct 2 | 24% |
| Oct 9 | 22% |
| Oct 16 | 24% |
Paris Saint-Germain: last 30 days
| Date (UTC) | Probability |
|---|---|
| Sep 18 | 12% |
| Sep 25 | 14% |
| Oct 2 | 12% |
| Oct 9 | 12% |
| Oct 16 | 16% |
Arsenal: last 30 days
| Date (UTC) | Probability |
|---|---|
| Sep 18 | 14% |
| Sep 25 | 14% |
| Oct 2 | 14% |
| Oct 9 | 14% |
| Oct 16 | 14% |
Source
Data: Polymarket public API, Polymarket market page. Linewire is not affiliated with Polymarket. Availability of prediction markets varies by jurisdiction.
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