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Largest Company end of December 2026?
Market favorite · Polymarket
NVIDIA: 69%
≈ -223 in American odds (no vig) · 7-day change: -19 pts · Closes Jan 1, 2027 · Data as of 2026-10-16 23:27 UTC
What’s moving
NVIDIA is the market favorite at 69% (-19 pts over 7 days). Biggest 7-day move among tracked outcomes: Apple, +19 pts. Prices are crowd-implied probabilities, not predictions from Linewire.
Current probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | ≈ American odds |
|---|---|---|
| NVIDIA | 69% | -223 |
| Apple | 29% | +246 |
| Alphabet | 2% | +4344 |
| Microsoft | <1% | +28471 |
| Saudi Aramco | <1% | +66567 |
| SpaceX | <1% | +66567 |
| Amazon | <1% | +99900 |
| Tesla | <1% | +199900 |
Probability = last traded price of the “Yes” contract. Convert any price with the odds converter or size a payout with the payout calculator.
Odds history
NVIDIA: last 30 days
| Date (UTC) | Probability |
|---|---|
| Sep 18 | 74% |
| Sep 25 | 75% |
| Oct 2 | 80% |
| Oct 9 | 88% |
| Oct 16 | 69% |
Apple: last 30 days
| Date (UTC) | Probability |
|---|---|
| Sep 18 | 18% |
| Sep 25 | 16% |
| Oct 2 | 14% |
| Oct 9 | 10% |
| Oct 16 | 29% |
Alphabet: last 30 days
| Date (UTC) | Probability |
|---|---|
| Sep 18 | 6% |
| Sep 25 | 6% |
| Oct 2 | 6% |
| Oct 9 | 2% |
| Oct 16 | 2% |
Source
Data: Polymarket public API, Polymarket market page. Linewire is not affiliated with Polymarket. Availability of prediction markets varies by jurisdiction.
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