Home · Free tools · PrizePicks calculator
PrizePicks Calculator: Breakeven & EV for Power and Flex
See how often each pick must hit for a Power or Flex slip to break even, what your entry is worth at your own hit rate, and how a prop compares to no-vig sportsbook odds.
—
| Power | Flex | |
|---|---|---|
| Payouts | — | — |
| Breakeven per pick | — | — |
| Breakeven as odds per pick | — | — |
| EV at your hit rate | — | — |
Compare to sportsbook odds (no-vig)
—
Payouts: standard rate, as of Oct 16, 2026 (Potential Outcomes page, Sept 9, 2026).
Standard PrizePicks Player Pick payouts. Demons/Goblins, correlated picks and promos pay differently, and PrizePicks may change rates at any time — always check the payout shown in your app. Assumes independent picks; pushes/voids ignored.
How to use this calculator
Pick your slip size, enter the hit rate you honestly expect per pick (55% is a strong long-run number), and your entry. The green line tells you which play pays more and whether it is +EV. Open the no-vig section and paste a sportsbook’s over/under prices for the same prop to see if it clears the breakeven. Copy the result to save or share your exact inputs.
PrizePicks breakeven chart (standard payouts)
| Picks | Power payout | Power breakeven/pick | Flex payouts | Flex breakeven/pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 3x | 57.7% | 2x (2/2), 0.5x (1/2) | 61.8% |
| 3 | 6x | 55.0% | 3x (3/3), 1x (2/3) | 57.7% |
| 4 | 10x | 56.2% | 6x (4/4), 1.5x (3/4) | 55.0% |
| 5 | 20x | 54.9% | 10x (5/5), 2x (4/5), 0.4x (3/5) | 54.3% |
| 6 | 37.5x | 54.7% | 25x (6/6), 2x (5/6), 0.4x (4/6) | 54.2% |
Payouts: standard rate, as of Oct 16, 2026 (Potential Outcomes page, Sept 9, 2026).
Why line movement matters for PrizePicks
PrizePicks projections often lag sportsbook moves. When a book prop moves past the PrizePicks line, the no-vig probability on that side can clear the ~55% breakeven. The free Sunday email flags those moves; see steam vs reverse line movement, the line movement checker and this week's NFL line moves. Not sure which slip type to play? Try the Power vs Flex picker.
DFS pick'em isn't available in all states; check eligibility.
FAQ
What hit rate do you need to break even on a PrizePicks Power Play?
At standard payouts, each pick needs to hit 57.7% on a 2-pick Power (3x), 55.0% on 3 picks (6x), 56.2% on 4 picks (10x), 54.9% on 5 picks (20x) and 54.7% on 6 picks (37.5x), assuming independent picks.
What hit rate do you need to break even on a Flex Play?
Flex breakevens per pick are 61.8% (2-pick), 57.7% (3), 55.0% (4), 54.3% (5) and 54.2% (6). Flex pays with one or two misses, so it lowers variance, but it needs a higher hit rate than Power on 2–3 pick slips.
How does a PrizePicks breakeven compare to sportsbook odds?
A 54.9% breakeven per pick is like laying -122 on every leg. A standard -110/-110 prop is 50% no-vig, so you need props where the sharp side is priced around -122 or shorter to beat a 5-pick Power. Open the no-vig section above to check a specific prop.